Shanghai VS Beijing : Apartment market price !
A
Tale of Two Cities : Shanghai's economic activity favored in comparison
with Beijing?
If you have a look on the real estate price
rise in the past two years, you'll notice that Beijing's rental prices for
residential real estate have a rate around 20% when Shanghai's rise is around
3% or even less.
Does this means that Beijing is developing faster than Shanghai ?
No. It seems to be quite the opposite
actually. The little real estate price rise can be explained by the success of
the Chinese authorities to limit real estate market price because of all the
problems it could trigger : unaffordability of apartments for the new
rising Chinese middle class that the authorities want to develop, growth of the
largest real estate property bubble of all times. With a large set of measures,
the Shanghai authorities have managed to cool the market down and this has
pleased the central government when Beijing appears as the bad pupil.
Beijing
Maybe this is the reason, maybe partially,
but it is now clear that the Chinese authorities want to develop Shanghai again
and make of it the definite economic capital of China, without any possible
discussion, Beijing being out of the game.
Actually, clouds are gathering above
Beijing, quite litterally, with its disastrous pollution that has reached peaks
in 2013 when Shanghai benefits from its sea shore and wind that cleans the air.
This might seem unrelated, but this is now clearly appearing as an important
factor when large global companies chose headquarters in China, less and less
people want to settle in Beijing, especially not people with children.
Punished by pollution and its frantic real
estate market, is cloosing the grip with Shanghai ? It might be possible, all the more that
Chinese authorities have big plans.
Free trade area !
A new free trade zone is going to be
experimented in Shanghai. This is going to be the first free trade zone in
mainland China, it has been aproved in July 2013 and will be launched in
october of the same year (that is, in a few days). This is big news and has
importance for the developement of the whole Shanghai area. The free trade zone
will be set in Pudong but the plan there might be much larger with the cities
of Hangzhou and Suzhou becoming the natural extensions in Shanghai, and
perceived as the most dyamic cities of China.
Actually, this is a tale of three cities.
The new Shanghai free trade zone is a replica of Hong Kong and is a deliberated
attempt to rebalance the economic activity from the Pearl River Delta to
Shanghai.
What is going to happen next is interesting to see since Guangdong,
Shenzhen and Hong Kong are trying to elaborate an answer with a larger free
trade zone.
This might be the beginning of the design
of a new China. What are your thoughts about this ?
Source: Beijing apartement
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